The lines are tight this week; lots of games the saavy player will stay away from (like the Futility Bowl between the Jets and Titans) or dangerous road favorites.
Still there are two games I like that I think have some value. First off, the Niners are in a great spot. Having just been humiliated by the Raiders, they have to go to Seattle and play the red hot Seahawks in the hardest venue in pro football over the past few years. Seattle by 20, right? Not usually-- the dictum that teams are never as good or as bad as perception is usually money, and the Niners are now double digit divisional dogs. Great situational play. Niners +10.
The other team I like is Dallas as 3 1/2 point road dogs at the Eagles. The NFC East has a long tradition of road teams winning these matchups, as well as splits of the season series. After the pasting at home on Thanksgiving, I think the Cowboys get the win (but a three point loss on a FG would be just fine by me as well). The Eagles-- despite Sanchez looking decent at time-- are not the same offense without Nick Foles, and now with a little more tape on the former USC standout, I expect Dallas to get enough pressure to force a turnover or two. This is a must-win for both teams, and I actually like the Cowboys to shake off their December woes and get the W. Cowboys + 3 1/2.
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