Thursday, December 18, 2014

Week 16 Picks

The first play I'm making this week is the UNDER 56 in the Indy-Dallas game.  This should be a game where the run game figures prominently.  Indy has been running the ball with Dan Herron a little better as of late, and Dallas, well, you know their success running.  Whether or not Murray plays is of little consequence; the offensive line will still be able to open up holes in the Indy D for the capable back ups to get yards in chunks.  I like this to stay under the number week.  Cowboys-Colts UNDER 56.

I can still find Washington +8 1/2, and I'll take it.  The Eagles aren't in a position to blow out anyone, even the (at times) completely woeful Washington squad.  A divisonal home dog of more than a touchdown, I like Jay Gruden's team to cover here.  Washington +8 1/2.

Double digit divisional dogs-- Jets +10 1/2.  This one is a bit dicey, but I'll play on the strong trend.  Jets +10 1/2.

I can find a +9 on Arizona, but I'll hold off until I can get +10.  I'm not punching a ticket just yet, but I'll hit on it if it gets to +10.  If on Sunday I can't get +10 I'll play the +9, but I'll be patient and let the public bet up the Cards to get double digits.  Conditional play:  Arizona +9 if and only if +10 is not available prior to kick off.  If the +9 is gone at that time, no play. 


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