Friday, October 2, 2015

Week 3 Recap

After two weeks of .500 picks, we got a solid 2-0 winner.  Both picks were solid; the Eagles led the game wire to wire, going up 24-0 before the Jets scored their first points.  The over in the Colts-Titans game was a little more dramatic, with the number hitting with around 7 minutes to go in the 4th quarter (though, there were still a few TDs to be scored, as the final number went all the way to 68).  I'm glad I didn't try to play on the Colts -3-- now 0-3 ATS and 1-2 SU, that TD with less than a minute left blew the cover.  I was in a sports book in downtown Vegas and the guys on the Colts side were cheering hard for that 2 point attempt to be good, as OT was their only hope!

Vegas lost on the Pats, who routed the heavy underdog Jags, but did pretty well the rest of the card.  The lines were pretty tight and things were mostly even.  I'm kicking myself for not getting on the New Orleans game when the number soared to NO +9.5-- that was an easy cover (seriously, who would back any NFC South team to cover 9.5 points?).  I was, however, happy with going 2-0 in the early games and decided to just lay off. 

The other game I had a slight lean to but decided not to play with Baltimore-- I really thought they would get off the slide and not go 0-3, but that meltdown in the late 4th quarter was hard to watch (less hard, since I didn't lose money on it). 

Arizona is, once again, having a great year behind Carson Palmer's (third?) comeback.  They still aren't getting the attention, but I have to think that Bruce Arians is just fine with that.  Palmer is playing out of his mind, their line is opening up opportunities for the running game regardless of who is holding the ball, and the defense is solid (4 picks and 7 points allowed in Sunday's game).  Granted, this is a team that has played New Orleans, Chicago and SF (a combined 1-8 record), so it will be interesting to see them against some better competition. 

Seattle looked better and more internally in sync than they have thus far this year, covering as double digit favorites.  The big story looming might be Green Bay and how dominant Aaron Rodgers has been thus far this season.  He looks like an early-on MVP favorite; he shredded a usually stout KC defense at Lambeau. 

In any case, nice to have a winning week and get in the green column for the first time this season.

NFL 2015 Week 3: 2-0
NFL 2015 Season Total: 6-4

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