Wednesday, October 1, 2014

Week 5 Picks

Time to get back on track here--  Week 5 has some interesting match ups and some teams in some pretty decent spots.

I always take double digit underdogs in divisional games, so I'm making a play on Tampa Bay +10 1/2 at New Orleans.  This one is a bit scary-- NO traditionally plays very, very well at home, especially coming off a loss.  But I'll take the statistics on this one and play on the Bucs.  Tampa Bay +10 1/2.

Not-High-Fiving-Tom-Brady is almost always money after a loss.  Last year, the Pats were home underdogs in only one game-- against the visiting Broncos.  The Pats won outright as 2 1/2 point dogs.  Before that, it had been 8 years!  I like taking QBs like Brady, Manning and Brees as home dogs, so I'll take the Patriots this week getting a small bit.  New England +1.5.

I like the situational angle in the Atlanta - New York game-- the Falcons coming off a bad loss to a subpar team, and the Giants coming off a huge nationally-televised pasting of a divisional rival.  Atlanta doesn't play extremely well on the road, but I like them to cover the 4.  Atlanta +4.

Three dog kind of week here-- let's atone for last week's debacle and climb back in this thing.


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