Time to rebound... I wish I had the Steelers at +3. I'm not playing it at +2 1/2, just too risky. This is a series I generally always take the dog at a field goal. This series is almost always decided by a field goal or less-- 10 of 13 now in the Flacco - Big Ben era. All the off field stuff and the 1/2 point are making me stay off this one. I wouldn't be surprised if the Steelers win this outright, but I'm just going to play safe and stay away.
I do, however, like the total here. The last time these two teams scored over 43 points was in the playoffs for the 2010 season (game played in January 2011). I can get 45 now, so I'm taking the UNDER 45 in this game.
One trend I love is playing double digit divisional dogs. Divisional games are always closer than the public thinks, and Vegas has no problem printing tickets for double digit chalk all weekend. For that reason, I'm taking the now-left-for-dead Kansas City at +12 1/2 against Denver.
Andrew Luck is money ATS after a loss. I'll take the Colts to outlast the Eagles at home in a potential shootout. Colts -3.
I'm interested to see what happens with the Pats and Vikings game. The line movement is pretty interesting, as the line has moved from Pats -5 to Pats -3.5 with nearly 2/3 of the money on New England. If we had more like 80% on the Pats, I'd bite on the Vikings. This is one to watch on Sunday morning when all the tourist money comes into Vegas...
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