Finally, after the football-less spring and summer, and the interminable preseason, the NFL kicks off tonight. Most of America couldn't be happier...
I'm starting this blog to post up my picks for the year. I'm not a tout or a self-affirmed savant, just a guy who's learned a few things about betting the NFL after some really, really good seasons, and a few pretty rough ones. I'm going to put up my picks for fun and discussion, going on record on-line and such. Again, I'm not selling anything (touts in general are the fastest way to blow your bankroll), this is just for kicks. And hey, who doesn't love to get flamed on-line after a week you go 1-4 or something?
Just a few things about me: I'm pretty risk-adverse. I don't take big favorites, generally, and I don't bet a lot of games. I use trends and line movements to make informed decisions, and look at things from a season-long perspective (as such, I don't "rate" plays, everything is one unit-- and I never chase). For me, the goal is to be up a little or close to even for the season, and to have fun with the thrill of following the spreads and money and watching the game with money on the line.
Stay tuned for my ONE pick for Week 1 (I usually never bet Week 1, but in this case, I have a pretty good case to build). Will be up soon.
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