It was a pretty relaxing weekend, since my only play was on the Thursday night game, and even better since I got to cash that ticket with the Jets. New England's offensive woes continued, and a decent Jets D held on to cover.
Some interesting games this weekend-- Miami and KC have made some strides this year, especially the former. Miami has been over the last year or two one of those teams that seems to hang around in games but can't pull it out (sort of like Tampa Bay this year). Maybe the Dolphins are getting over that hump? The line on the Atlanta / Miami game is interesting-- Vegas is giving a lot of credit to Miami after their road win at Indy, but I wonder if that's just because the Colts are a bit over-rated at the moment (the running game isn't working, and they have the same defensive problems they've had for about 15 years...) In any case, these teams are much improved; KC at Philly is set up to be an interesting watch with the whole Andy Reid homecoming madness.
The Giants got shelled by Denver in the most recent incarnation of the Manning Bowl; Coughlin's squad is a short underdog this week visiting a winless Carolina squad. The Giants tend to be a team that very often gets off to a slow start and then settles down a bit, I'm just not sure this is the week to pull the trigger on backing them.
I was really rooting for Philly to beat the Chargers and for Tennessee to pull out the win against Houston. The Chargers are historically very good ATS on the road, and if the Chargers lost and Tennessee won, there would be a lot of value in the Chargers traveling to the Titans this week. Alas, this did not work. I was hoping to be able to get the Chargers around +6 this week, but the line is sitting at +3.5 at the moment, with most of the money coming in on SD. Best laid plans, indeed.
How bad is Green Bay in coverage? Bad. Granted, they were in total control of that game almost wire-to-wire, but the Washington offense was shooting itself in the foot much of the time. Despite this, the Redskins still had a 100-yard day from Morris and a tenative, often indecisive RG III still registered 320 passing yards and 3 TDs. I don't know when the GB defensive works things out, but between their dismal play and Rodger's playing his brains out, I expect most of their games to resemble shoot outs.
There's a lot of negativity about the defending champs out there; so much so that they are now short underdogs at home versus Houston. The Cleveland game was a slugfest, but divisional games are often like this, even against a perennial doormat like the Browns. I don't think Baltimore is as bad as advertised, or at least, we don't have enough data just yet. This weekend will tell a lot.
In all, things are going well. I'll have my Week 3 picks up soon.
NFL 2013 Week 2: 1-0
NFL 2013 Season Total: 2-0
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