Week 4 Recap

After a good 5-0 start to the season, I suppose I was due to give a little back.  I dropped both picks, though I was very glad the line on Jacksonville - Colts game didn't get higher on Sunday, else I would dropped that one too, had I played it. 

So what went wrong?  I pulled the trigger on the Steelers too early.  There will be some value in Pittsburgh at some point, and I just was too quick on them-- I should have had some patience, as Week 4 is their bye, and Week 5 they play the Jets.  If the Jets win this week and go 3-2 (a hard sell since they travel to a reeling and desperate Falcons team), there could be value in that line with Pittsburgh as a serious dog.  In reality, Pittsburgh won't be a solid dog play until a divisional game.  I really thought they'd be more poised at Wembley, but I was just wrong.

The Atlanta game was a little maddening to watch-- though, with some of the coaching calls being made on the Falcon's sideline, it wouldn't have surprised me if Smith would have went for two to win the game had Matty Ice converted the 4th down play for a TD (which would have meant Atlanta wouldn't have covered the 1 1/2).  I underestimated how much better the Pats' secondary has gotten, and how much strides have been made offensively.  Not taking the points with Brady is always risky, and I just flat out had this one called wrong. 

The Colts - Jacksonville game was interesting to see unfold-- is it possible that the Jags really are this bad?  They are now 0-4 ATS and SU, and have scored 31 points this entire season (to put it in perspective, Denver scored 35 points by the 6:37 mark in the 3rd quarter of Week 1).  They've also given up 129 points this season. 

Baltimore seems to be all over the place, though it seems Buffalo was something of a trap game for them, coming between Houston and Miami.  The Giants are a mess-- actually the whole NFC East is pretty shaky.  Seattle's dramatic come-from-behind win was one of those games that makes the NFL so fun to watch (though if I had put down on that one, it would probably be another story).