Tuesday, November 26, 2013

Week 12 Recap

I had a pretty good week, going 3-1, but missing the perfect 4-0 by a point on the total play in the Dallas - New York game.  Those two early botched red zone possessions for the Giants really hurt, but I'll take a 3-1 mark any week.  The Jags - Texans game went exactly as I had expected, and the results on the side and total were never in doubt.  Though I'm happy I made those plays (playing the trend of double digits division dogs especially), I am kicking myself a little for not playing the sharp play on the Cards and the Falcons.  With the latter, I've been hosed a couple times on the Falcons that I missed the cover in the good spot.  Sometimes teams can really get in your head, and I think Atlanta is one of those teams for me this season, so I missed a good play there.

The Minnesota - Green Bay game was wild-- I very well could have lost that game in OT, after holding a ticket for the +5 dog up 23 - 7 at the beginning of the 4th quarter.  Green Bay nearly punched it in during the OT quarter, which would have blown the Minnesota play.  Crazy game.  People playing Minnesota on the moneyline must have just been sick-- just like the people enjoying their Denver -2 1/2 ticket at halftime on Sunday night.  Classic Manning - Brady-- huge comeback, dramatic game, with Peyton finally responding to tie the game at 31-all, but the Pats pulling out the stunner at home.  I'm so glad I wasn't on this game and could just enjoy it as pure sport.  

Things change so fast in the NFL-- KC was riding high, but the naysayers that have been riding next to the bandwagon all season were correct.  Now KC has lost 2 in a row, with a very real possible of making it 3, with this week's game against the Broncos.  They caught a break with the Denver loss, though, which takes the sting out of the divisional loss to SD somewhat.  

The Colts are clearly not the same team without Reggie Wayne.  It seems that the receivers can't ever be competent all at the same time.  If Fleener isn't dropping balls, Hilton is, and I don't think Heywood-Bey is the right fit for Indy.  Richardson can't get going, which is at least as much about the O-line as him (which is also why Luck isn't being protected enough).  There are some things to sort out in Indy, and for all the problems (solvable, mostly, going forward to next year), the biggest liability is the defense (shocking, I know, for a Colts squad).  There's a lot of upside for this young team, but better defense is going to have to be part of it.  Arizona just shelled them, not that it was terribly surprising.  I stayed off this game (somewhat ironically) because the Cards are a good team, if underrated.  The Colts usually play up to their opponents, and I thought they'd be more competitive.  

Carolina won again, a gritty game with a Dolphin squad that rarely wins but almost always plays it close.  This was a bad spot for Carolina-- an out of division game, before a huge divisional match-up, on the road, after a string of wings--- this is a hard, hard spot for any team.  Kudos to them for taking care of business and putting a little fear into the Saints.  

Don't look now, but the Steelers are tied for second in the division (with the defending Superbowl champs).  Cincinnati has a tough road test this week, heading out to San Diego, and the Steelers battle the Ravens.  The Bengals need a win to keep up their lead.  

NFL 2013 Week 12: 3-1
NFL 2013 Season Total: 22-13

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